When does it start? What is the forecast?

The official start of the 2022 hurricane season may be two months away, but forecasters are already assembling their long-range forecasts — and seasoned residents are assessing their hurricane supplies and preparing their lists.

Several factors come into play when meteorologists make their early predictions on what we might expect in the coming season, including water temperatures from as far away as the tropical Pacific.

And while there is an official start and end to hurricane season, storms can and have developed throughout the year.

The bottom line: All agree residents should always be prepared for a storm.

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Here are a few answers to common questions as the predictions for this year’s season begin to arrive.

When does hurricane season begin and end?

The Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1 and runs through Nov. 30. The National Hurricane Center begins issuing regular tropical weather outlooks May 15.

The eastern Pacific hurricane season begins May 15 and runs through Nov. 30.

► NHC Tropical Weather Outlooks

► National Hurricane Center

What are the experts predicting for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season?

The 2021 hurricane season was the third most active on record and AccuWeather’s hurricane experts said the 2022 season could be very similar.

AccuWeather’s 2022 Atlantic hurricane forecast calls for 16 to 20 named storms, six to eight of which could become hurricanes. Three to five of those hurricanes could become classified as major, which means wind speeds of 111 mph or higher.

Four to six hurricanes could have a direct impact on the US, AccuWeather said.

NOAA is predicting La Niña will continue into summer, keeping tropical storm formation high.

If La Niña persists through September, it would be the third time since 1950 the phenomenon has been around for three consecutive hurricane seasons.

Colorado State University will issue its first formal forecast for the 2022 season April 7.

An earlier “qualitative discussion” issued in December gave the highest chance — 40% — of 13 to 16 named storms, with six to eight becoming hurricanes and two to three becoming major hurricanes.

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